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- October/November 2003
- The Incredible Shrinking Workforce
- If we're going to compete, we need to
empower skilled immigrants
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- by David Hughes
ALL THIS TALK about skilled-labour shortages
should come as no surprise to Canadians. Since Confederation, Canada has been
unable to supply the necessary human capital for its national workforce. We
have a history of recruiting skilled foreign workers to meet our labour market
demands. The building of the transcontinental railroad—the world’s longest at
its completion—was accomplished in less than five years in 1885 only because
of Chinese labour. Skilled European workers largely built our 20th century
urban infrastructures—transportation, water and housing.
It is true however, that Canada’s labour market is now undergoing a deep,
fundamental demographic shift. Three forces are at work: a growing demand for
skill sets to match advancing technologies and meet global competition; a
declining birthrate and increasing life expectancy; and a national strategy to
rely on newcomers for the skills to replenish the labour pool. It is this last
one I want to focus on here, but first some numbers on the problem itself.
From 1991 to 2001, the labour force increased by 1.3 million to 15.6 million
workers. Almost half of this growth was in skilled occupations that normally
require university qualifications. Two national surveys show that nearly half
of small- and medium-sized firms in Canada suffer from a qualified labour
shortage, with 250,000 to 300,000 unfilled vacancies. Canada just isn’t
producing enough homegrown talent to meet demand.
This is partly because the Canadian fertility rate has been in decline since
the early 1960s and currently stands at 1.7 children per female. According to
Statistics Canada, we need a fertility rate of 2.1 to simply maintain our
population. Canadians are also living longer, resulting in the labour force
becoming “greyer.” Projections are for Canada’s population over the age of 45
to increase to 44% from 36% by 2011, at which time older workers (55 to 64)
will outnumber youth (15 to 24) entering the labour market. And, while the
general population is living longer, workers are retiring earlier. The median
age of retirement was 61 years in 1999, down from nearly 65 in 1976.
To meet current and future shortages, government policies encourage
immigration of highly skilled workers. Over 18% of all Canadians are
immigrants (only Australia has a higher percentage). Canada will accept
anywhere from 220,000 to 245,000 newcomers this year, the highest per capita
of any industrialized nation, with a target of about 300,000 in years to come.
More than 100,000 of Canada’s immigrants, from 180 different countries, come
to Ontario annually, with 43% choosing to settle in the Greater Toronto Area.
Half of Toronto’s workforce is foreign-born. Given the declining birthrate and
retirement of baby boomers, it is estimated that by 2011, 100% of Canada’s net
labour force growth will come from immigration.
Yet, the workforce is still shrinking. Why? Because major barriers exist for
immigrants in finding work in their regulated professions and trades. For
example, according to the Ontario Ministry of Training, Colleges and
Universities, the unemployment rate of internationally trained professionals
is over three times as high as other people in Ontario, and less than
one-quarter who were employed work in their field. Some regulatory bodies,
such as the engineering and pharmaceutical professions, are reassessing how
their regulations apply to workers trained internationally, but change is slow
in coming.
What does all this mean for Ontario companies? Since they need this skilled,
motivated pool of labour, they must work with professional regulatory bodies,
government ministries, politicians and education institutions to take down
barriers and allow immigrants to use their skills in the workforce.
Canada was built through immigration and it’s where our future lies. If we are
going to continue to grow and compete internationally, a comprehensive policy
and the corresponding services must be worked out. Otherwise, the talents of
the best and brightest from around the world will go to waste, and businesses
will be left holding the short end of the stick.
David Hughes
(hughes@skillsforchange.org) is the manager, business development and
administration at Skills for Change, a Toronto community agency that provides
training and employment-preparation services for internationally trained
newcomers to Canada.